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 Subject :Re:Koh Brothers.. 03-04-2012 
Joes
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Koh Bros is looking good and should attract more market attention going forward.
Latest announcement is positive:

KOH BROTHERS AND UNITED ENGINEERS JOINTLY AWARDED PUB PROJECT FOR JURONG WATER RECLAMATION PLANT

- 60 : 40 JV submitted winning bid of S$54.6 million

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 Subject :Re:Re:Koh Brothers.. 03-04-2012 
abb
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Did you notice that on last Friday and yesterday -- ie, Monday -- Koh Bros did share buybacks at higher prices of 22 and 22.5 cents? Maybe they read your posts LOL. Anyway, it's a good market signal for me.





[Joes 30-03-2012]:

Hmmm... Koh Bros didn't do any buyback yesterday and the day before. As I noted in an earlier post, my concern is that Koh Bros will not help to push up the stock. It's 21 cents or nothing for them. Like that how?

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 Subject :Re:Re:Koh Bros.. 01-04-2012 
jameskuwe
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Just checked Koh Bros income statement. out of 12 years, 6 have negative cash flow from ops. In the last 7 years, only 2009 and 2010 were positive. I guess by construction counters, i mean construction/developer/property management/engineering counters, like Lian beng, Sim Lian, Chip Eng seng, Yong Nam, Hock Lian Seng, Tuan Sing, Low Keng Huat OKP, etc. In terms of positive cash flow from ops, only Lian Beng, Hock Lian Seng, hong fok and OKP have favourable positive net cash in the last 6 years.
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 Subject :Re:Koh Bros.. 01-04-2012 
Joes
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James-san, if you turned the clock back a year, you would be reading Koh's financial statements glowing with very positive cashflow from operations to the tune of S$41 million for FY2010. It was negative cashflow in FY2011, tho.

Which construction counters are you referring to? Nowadays, Koh Bros, Tee Int'l, Lian Beng, etc are not pure constr counters. They have morphed into construction-developer plays which could explain their erratic cashflows.

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 Subject :Re:Re:Koh Brothers.. 31-03-2012 
jameskuwe
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eventually the market will sit up and take note. in the long run, price will appreciate. patience needed. fundamentally healthy company. but can u tell me why most construction counters have negative cash flow from ops yet they can survive.
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 Subject :Re:Koh Brothers.. 30-03-2012 
Joes
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Hmmm... Koh Bros didn't do any buyback yesterday and the day before. As I noted in an earlier post, my concern is that Koh Bros will not help to push up the stock. It's 21 cents or nothing for them. Like that how?

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 Subject :Re:Re:Koh Brothers.. 28-03-2012 
jameskuwe
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Joes: something is definitely brewing with Koh Bros, otherwise they won't spent millions to buy back their shares. Can u explain s I am not too familiar with construction counters: who do most have negative cash from operations? how do they make money if thats the case?
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 Subject :Re:Koh Brothers.. 27-03-2012 
Joes
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Jameskuwe: Koh Bros bought back another bunch of shares. Small quantity. All at 21 cents. Anyone can conclude that 21 c is the support price. No one can be sure if the Kohs will like to eat shares at a higher price. So, there is limited downside and ... big? small? upside.

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 Subject :Re:Re:Koh Brothers.. 22-03-2012 
jameskuwe
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Joes, I have taken a quick look at Koh's financial statements. Everything seems to be in order, but, like all construction companies, it has a high level of debts. Also, it has a PE of more than 5, higher than other construction counters like Lian Beng, sim lian, chip eng seng, etc. one day, when i am free, i will look at all these constrcution counters' financial statements and make a comparison and see which is the best value for money. I think construction counters are ripe for the picking. Very interested in chip eng seng, sim lian and koh bros.
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 Subject :Re:Koh Brothers.. 21-03-2012 
Dele
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Sun Plaza retail mall is half owned by Koh Bros which tried to sell it a few years ago. Didn't go through.  My friend says Sun Plaza is not your cool place to go shopping & dining. The ambience is no standard. The place is looking run down and crying out for a new coat of paint. If Koh Bros can sell Sun Plaza, it will trigger a re-rating of the stock.
 

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 Subject :Koh Brothers.. 21-03-2012 
Joes
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James,

Koh Bros does look interesting. U have more insights after more digging into their financial statements?

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 Subject :Re:Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 19-03-2012 
jameskuwe
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any ofyou guys realize that Koh Bros have been doing share buy back nearly daily? Altogether 12 million shares bought already. PE a bit high at 5, while Sim Lian is only at 1.8. But Koh management must be very confident of its future to do so much share buy back with its cash. It's the only construction company to do share buy back, at least recently. Any thoughts on Koh Bros?
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 16-03-2012 
yeh
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Strange creature -- stay so still, even after chalking up 6th consecutive year of record profit.

 

 YONGNAM DELIVERS SIXTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF RECORD EARNINGS 

 

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 14-03-2012 
Joes
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CITIGROUP today:

Valuation

Our S$0.31 target price is based on 7x FY12E earnings estimates; this is roughly inline with Yongnam's historical (FY06-present) average. We believe mid-cycle valuations are comfortably justifiable by the group's

i) attractive structural growth story (well positioned to capitalize on large-scale government projects);

ii) good execution track record;

iii) market dominance, and iv) reduced downside risk arising from a greater degree of certainty with respect to industry outlook (state-funded long-term projects) and replacement value of its strutting assets.

Risks

The key downside risks to our investment thesis on Yongnam are: 1) Potentially dilutive impact from 365mn outstanding warrants (30% of share base; exercise price: S$0.25; expires Dec-2012); 2) Higher than expected increases in steel price; 3) Poorer-than expected Structural Steel contract wins; 4) Delays in commencement/ cancellation of key infrastructure projects (e.g. Thomson Line, Eastern Region Line, North-South Expressway); and 5) Execution risks. If any of these risk factors has a greater downside impact than we anticipate, the share price will likely have difficulty attaining our target price.

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 01-03-2012 
Joes
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Didn't move yesterday, so still got chance to accumulate at 25.5 - 26 cents. Anyone?

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings 6th year of record earnings.. 29-02-2012 
abb
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Yikes, forgot about this stock and didnt accumulate. This morning, announced :

YONGNAM DELIVERS SIXTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF RECORD EARNINGS WITH NET PROFIT UP 16.5% TO S$63.4 MILLION

- Gross profit margin improves from 28.6% in FY2010 to 31.1% in FY2011

- Order book remains strong at S$462.0 million as at 31 December 2011

- Declares final dividend of 1.0 (FY2010: 0.65) Singapore cent per ordinary share

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings -- smart money buying?.. 23-02-2012 
Reck
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A simple technical analysis suggests that smart money is accumulating shares of Yongnam.

Read this (good or goondu?) post by AK71: http://singaporeanstocksinvestor.blogspot.com/2012/02/yongnam-smart-money-is-accumulating.html

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 14-02-2012 
Reck
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Happened to look thru Yongnam's announcements for Jan-June 2009, the period which CAD is investigating.

There was a 35,642,000 share purchase by the CEO on March 13 from the open market. This was a big 2.92 % stake which raised his direct holding to 5.67 %. He has another 5% + in deemed holding.

The 35.6 million share purchase was at 7.66 cents, and now the stock is a 3-bagger at 24.5 cents!

Wonder why it took so long for the whistle blower or kaypoh or rumour monger to talk to CAD./

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Last Edited On: 14-02-2012 By Reck for the Reason
 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 13-02-2012 
Reck
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Minus 2 cents = 24 cents. CEO going to be weighed down by CAD probe. But is it business as usual in the company?

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 12-02-2012 
Joes
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Another big fish invited to lim kopi at CAD!
Will the CEO's case bring down the stock price tomorrow?

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 10-02-2012 
Joes
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UOBKH

Yongnam Holdings – Strong construction demand will lift earnings BUY with 79% upside
 (BUY/S$0.235/Target: S$0.42)  


Re-iterate BUY on Yongnam Holdings (Yongnam) with a target price of S$0.42, pegged at the sector’s 9x 2012F PE. We expect its share price to remain resilient amid economic uncertainties, backed by a strong track record and a consistent dividend policy. 

Yongnam’s share price remained stable in 4Q11 despite clinching two sets of contracts. This would present opportunities for investors looking to ride the regional infrastructure construction play story. 

 


Yongnam will report its full-year earnings in February and we expect a net profit of S$63.5m, driven by stronger gross margin due to favourable project mix. The company has a policy of paying about 15% of earnings as dividends, which we project at 0.78 cents for 2011.

 

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 29-07-2011 
abb
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This poor guy's share price has been fluctuated in a tight range S$0.20-0.30 since mid-2009.
Poor guy --= strong construction market leader but no stk market darling. Lucky i took profit a long time ago at 29 cents. Maybe can consider buying back...

Citi has initiated coverage --- may be a good sign. Target S$0.36 based on 8x FY12E earnings, a slight premium to YNM’s historical and peer average of ~7x.


Investment thesis is based on i) higher-than-expected earnings
growth (11% > FY12E consensus); ii) YNM’s strong market positioning amid a positive
industry trend; iii) compelling valuations (~6x FY12E P/E) and iv) downside protection
from replacement value of the group’s strutting assets (>70% of market cap). but improving
fundamentals could enable a sustained breakout to the upside.

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 15-11-2010 
Dele
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DBS VICKERS RECOMMENDATION

Our FY10/11 EPS estimates are raised by 8% and 5% respectively,
as we hike our gross margin assumptions following this set of
results. Balance sheet strength also improved in 3Q as Yongnam
recorded strong operating cash flows and reduced gearing to 0.52x
from 0.61x at end-2Q10. Hence, we maintain our BUY call on the
stock at a slightly higher TP of S$0.47 (10x FY11 earnings).

ANALYST: Suvro Sarkar +65 6398 7973 suvro@dbsvickers.com

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 07-04-2010 
lrsy
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Anyone knows any broker\'s latest recommandation about this company? Could you kindly share?
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 07-04-2010 
garl
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Yongnam has announced yet another contract yesterday. Seems like they really do have lots of work to come, which means sometimes a stock decision can be made wrongly because we dont know what\'s around the corner in terms of announcement.:

Harlequin wrote:[quote]Seems a tad too aggressive a target price of 46 cents by CIMB. For that, Yongnam has to win lots of big contracts in the next couple of months. As it is, the outstanding order book ain\'t hot to make me expect a major rise in revenue/profit for 2010. What do ya think?[quote]

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 06-04-2010 
lrsy
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This is really a good company to invest as it is keeping growing.
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 06-04-2010 
garl
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Singapore, April 5, 2010 – Yongnam Holdings Limited, together with Geodesic Techniques Private Limited, an engineering design and build company in India, has won a sub-contract worth INR 235 Crores (approx. S$75.5 million) for the construction of a roof structure and composite steel columns for a new integrated terminal building for the Mumbai International Airport. The contract is expected to be completed by 28 February 2011. “This is our [b]second major contract[/b] win in India, following the successful completion of the roof structure steelwork for the new passenger terminal building at the new Terminal 3 of Delhi International Airport. As we build up our track record in India, this is a testament to our commitment to quality and safety, as well as our ability to provide value-added engineering and steel construction solutions. More importantly, this contract is evidence of our successful effort to deepen our market penetration in India,” said Mr Seow Soon Yong, Chief Executive Officer of Yongnam.
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 02-04-2010 
Dele
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Published April 1, 2010

Yongnam upbeat on winning a third of new projects here It plans to boost stock of steel struts as builders' demand remains strong

By VEN SREENIVASAN

COMING into the new year with an order book of some $492 million, specialist infrastructure steelworks company Yongnam Holdings reckons it can clinch at least a third of the estimated $1.4 billion worth of new projects coming onstream this year. And this does not include up to $30 billion of infrastructure projects here, including the $8 billion North-South underground expressway, which is expected to be commissioned in the next few years.

'Some people (in the market) seem to think that with the completion of some of our big commercial projects like Marina Sands, the game is over for us,\' laughed executive director and chief financial officer Chia Sin Cheng.

'They could not be further from the truth. Even as I speak, we are very busy with major infrastructure projects such as the $5 billion Marina Central Expressway, Downtown Line 2 & 3, Gardens by the Bay and others.'

Yongnam considers itself unique in its business. The company is Singapore's, and probably the region\'s, largest supplier of steel struts used to support construction of tunnels, underground highways and subterranean buildings; and structural steel used for the construction of mega complexes and buildings. Indeed, some analysts calculate that Yongnam is bigger than the combined size of its next two biggest competitors, Taiwan's Fuichi and Japan's J-Steel.

'In this business, size matters,' Mr Chia said.

'Barriers to entry are high, not just because of cost, but also because of regulatory requirements and the need for a strong track record. And we have first mover advantage on these fronts.

Yongnam's size becomes obvious when seen in the context of its steel asset holdings: it owns some 135,000 tonnes of steel struts at its Tuas facility, which itself is the size of 20 football fields. These re-usable struts are used by multinational builders like Obayashi, Takenaka, Penta-Ocean and others to physically support underground tunnels and caverns at multi-billion-dollar subterranean infrastructure projects.

Demand has been so strong that Yongnam is planning to buy at least 20,000 tonnes more, to boost its total stock to 155,000 tonnes. Its existing stock is carried at original steel cost of $900 per tonne, though new stock will have to be bought at $1,600 per tonne - a factor which also raises barriers to entry.

'No doubt, there has been a slight flattening out of these commercial projects which use structural steel,' Mr Chia said. 'But the pipeline looks promising, especially with the Kallang Sports Hub and Southbeach projects coming onstream later this year.'

Last year, structural steel accounted for 75 per cent of its full year revenue of $347 million (net profit for end-December 2009 was $40.1 million). But in its current order book, 60 per cent of revenue will come from struts. The company is also looking to diversify geographically.

'Currently, 90 per cent of our projects are in Singapore,' he said. 'We expect the Singapore:offhsore mix to be 50:50 in about three to five years.'

Its past offshore projects include Delhi Airport, Bangkok Airport and Dubai Metro Rail. Meanwhile, the company is bracing for a slew of mega infrastructure projects here, including the underground expressway which will run parallel to the CTE. \'In this business, you must have the capacity and size to deliver,' he said. 'So for us, the bigger the project, the better.'

Meanwhile, it expects to book some 62 per cent of its existing order book into this year's earnings, with the rest coming in during 2011. Asked why Yongnam's stock is stuck at under 30 cents if the outlook was so bright, Mr Chia laughed:

'Yes, we used to be above 50 cents over a year ago when we had half the value of projects in hand. I suppose the market has not appreciated what we are. Many analysts tend to lump us with other general contractors, not realising that we are a specialist steelworks subcontractor who does not share the same risks as those in general construction.'

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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 27-03-2010 
lrsy
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It is not really a concern for someone who sold the shares in most of the cases, 500 lots is just nothing at all. When some buy a counter, that really matters to me. Yongnam will be a multi bagger in time comes
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 27-03-2010 
Joes
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Not to worry about it. Director who sold 500,000 shares is LIEW JAT YUEN, RICHARD, a Non-Executive and Independent Director Professor Liew, 47, is a world renowned expert in steel and composite structures. He had recently excercised his options at 8 cents, and probably sold at 27 cents. Made a $95,000 profit. As for valuation, I think Yongnam is fairly valued already. But if it announces a slew of big contracts in the weeks or months ahead, the stock should easily go above 30 cents. I expect it to announce contract awards as it has put in bids for over $1 billion worth of work.
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 27-03-2010 
sgmarket
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Director just sold his entire holdings of 500,000 shares for 0.275. Fully valued for now, perhaps? http://www.sgx.com/wps/portal/marketplace/mp-en/listed_companies_info/company_announcements/!ut/p/c5/04_SB8K8xLLM9MSSzPy8xBz9CP0os3gTn1DXUFNLYwMLtwA3AyMvZ3Mf09AAA_dAc6B8JE55A3czArq99KPSc_KTgPb4eeTnpuoX5EZUOjoqKgIAFOdGOQ!!/dl3/d3/L2dBISEvZ0FBIS9nQSEh/
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 25-03-2010 
erelation
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I think Lian Beng is a better bet with Order book of S$820 million... enough job to keep them busy till 2013. Property market is still hot despite government measures... and any new project secure is going further increases revenue and probably extend till 2014. What do you think?
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 Subject :Re:Yongnam Holdings Ltd.. 25-03-2010 
garl
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Seems a tad too aggressive a target price of 46 cents by CIMB. For that, Yongnam has to win lots of big contracts in the next couple of months. As it is, the outstanding order book ain\'t hot to make me expect a major rise in revenue/profit for 2010. What do ya think?
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